01
Model 06
614 scored predictions≤ 10%23%
≤ 20%37%
≤ 30%51%
Recorded model performance
Every model. One clean view.
Accuracy bands for every current model, measured against official print runs.
26 models.
803 official results. 643 have recorded forecasts.
02
Model 23
465 scored predictions≤ 10%20%
≤ 20%35%
≤ 30%48%
03
Model 13
434 scored predictions≤ 10%17%
≤ 20%33%
≤ 30%48%
04
Model 21
434 scored predictions≤ 10%18%
≤ 20%32%
≤ 30%47%
05
Model 07
434 scored predictions≤ 10%12%
≤ 20%30%
≤ 30%47%
06
Model 01
434 scored predictions≤ 10%18%
≤ 20%32%
≤ 30%46%
07
Model 25
351 scored predictions≤ 10%17%
≤ 20%31%
≤ 30%45%
08
Model 19
434 scored predictions≤ 10%18%
≤ 20%30%
≤ 30%44%
09
Model 20
434 scored predictions≤ 10%16%
≤ 20%29%
≤ 30%44%
10
Model 24
351 scored predictions≤ 10%14%
≤ 20%29%
≤ 30%44%
11
Model 16
434 scored predictions≤ 10%15%
≤ 20%30%
≤ 30%42%
12
Model 12
434 scored predictions≤ 10%14%
≤ 20%27%
≤ 30%42%
13
Model 18
434 scored predictions≤ 10%14%
≤ 20%27%
≤ 30%42%
14
Model 03
614 scored predictions≤ 10%15%
≤ 20%28%
≤ 30%41%
15
Model 11
284 scored predictions≤ 10%15%
≤ 20%28%
≤ 30%41%
16
Model 15
434 scored predictions≤ 10%13%
≤ 20%28%
≤ 30%40%
17
Model 09
434 scored predictions≤ 10%14%
≤ 20%29%
≤ 30%39%
18
Model 17
614 scored predictions≤ 10%13%
≤ 20%27%
≤ 30%39%
19
Model 10
284 scored predictions≤ 10%11%
≤ 20%25%
≤ 30%38%
20
Model 08
614 scored predictions≤ 10%12%
≤ 20%25%
≤ 30%36%
21
Model 05
471 scored predictions≤ 10%10%
≤ 20%26%
≤ 30%36%
22
Model 22
434 scored predictions≤ 10%12%
≤ 20%24%
≤ 30%35%
23
Model 14
434 scored predictions≤ 10%9%
≤ 20%21%
≤ 30%29%
24
Model 04
434 scored predictions≤ 10%9%
≤ 20%18%
≤ 30%27%
25
Model 02
580 scored predictions≤ 10%10%
≤ 20%17%
≤ 30%26%
26
Model 32
60 scored predictions≤ 10%7%
≤ 20%18%
≤ 30%22%